Bungwe la International Monetary Fund (IMF) latulutsa Lachiwiri laposachedwa kwambiri la World Economic Outlook, likulosera kuti chuma cha padziko lonse chidzakwera 3.6 % mu 2022, kutsika ndi 0.8 % kuchokera pa zomwe zinaneneratu mu Januwale.
IMF ikukhulupirira kuti mikangano ndi zilango zakumadzulo kwa Russia zadzetsa tsoka lachithandizo cha anthu, zidakweza mitengo yamtengo wapatali padziko lonse lapansi, kusokoneza misika yazantchito ndi malonda apadziko lonse lapansi, komanso kusokoneza misika yazachuma padziko lonse lapansi.Chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali, maiko angapo padziko lonse lapansi adakweza chiwongola dzanja, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti chiwongola dzanja chichepetse pakati pa osunga ndalama komanso kulimba kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi.Kuphatikiza apo, kuchepa kwa katemera wa COVID-19 m'maiko opeza ndalama zochepa kungayambitse miliri yatsopano.
Zotsatira zake, IMF idachepetsa zoneneratu za kukula kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi chaka chino ndikulosera zakukula kwapadziko lonse lapansi ndi 3.6 peresenti mu 2023, kutsika ndi 0.2% kuchokera pazomwe zidanenedweratu.
Mwachindunji, chuma chapamwamba chikuyembekezeka kukula ndi 3.3% chaka chino, kutsika ndi 0.6% kuchokera pazomwe zidanenedweratu.Idzakula ndi 2.4 peresenti chaka chamawa, kutsika ndi 0.2% kuchokera pazomwe zidanenedweratu.Misika yomwe ikubwera ndi chuma chomwe chikutukuka chikuyembekezeka kukula ndi 3.8 peresenti chaka chino, kutsika ndi 1 peresenti kuchokera pazomwe zidanenedweratu kale;Idzakula ndi 4.4% chaka chamawa, kutsika ndi 0.3% kuchokera pazomwe zidanenedweratu.
IMF idachenjeza kuti zoneneratu za kukula kwapadziko lonse lapansi ndizosatsimikizika kwambiri kuposa m'mbuyomu pomwe mkangano wapakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine udasokoneza chuma padziko lonse lapansi.Ngati zilango zakumadzulo ku Russia sizingachotsedwe ndipo kuphwanya kwakukulu kwa kugulitsa mphamvu ku Russia kukupitilira mkangano ukatha, kukula kwapadziko lonse kungachepe kwambiri ndipo kukwera kwamitengo kungakhale kokulirapo kuposa momwe amayembekezera.
Mlangizi wazachuma wa IMF komanso wotsogolera kafukufuku Pierre-Olivier Gulanza adanena mu blog tsiku lomwelo kuti kukula kwachuma padziko lonse sikudziwika.Pavutoli, ndondomeko zapadziko lonse ndi mgwirizano wa mayiko ambiri zidzathandiza kwambiri.Mabanki apakati akuyenera kusintha ndondomeko kuti atsimikizire kuti zoyembekeza za inflation zimakhalabe zokhazikika panthawi yapakati mpaka nthawi yayitali, ndikupereka mauthenga omveka bwino ndi chitsogozo cha ndondomeko ya ndalama kuti achepetse kuopsa kwa kusintha kwa ndondomeko.