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Kodi tingabwereze chaka chabwino pa malonda padziko lonse?

Ziwerengero zomwe zatulutsidwa posachedwapa za 2021 zikuwonetsa "zokolola zambiri" zamalonda zapadziko lonse lapansi, koma zikuwonekerabe ngati zaka zabwinozo zibwerezedwanso chaka chino.
Malinga ndi zomwe zidatulutsidwa ndi Germany Federal Statistics Office Lachiwiri, katundu waku Germany yemwe amatumizidwa kunja ndi kutumiza kunja mu 2021 akuyembekezeka kufika ma euro 1.2 thililiyoni ndi ma 1.4 thililiyoni motsatana, kukwera 17.1% ndi 14% kuyambira chaka chatha, zonse zidapitilira COVID-19. milingo ndi kugunda mbiri kwambiri, komanso apamwamba kwambiri kuposa zomwe msika ukuyembekezeka.
Ku Asia, kuchuluka kwa katundu wa China ndi kutumiza kunja kunadutsa ife $6 thililiyoni kwa nthawi yoyamba mu 2021. Zaka zisanu ndi zitatu zitafikira US $4 thililiyoni kwa nthawi yoyamba mu 2013, kuchuluka kwa katundu wa China ndi kutumiza kunja kunafika kwa ife $5 thililiyoni ndi US $ 6 thililiyoni motsatana, kufika pa mbiri yakale. apamwamba.MU TERMS of RMB, zogulitsa kunja ndi kunja kwa China zidzakwera ndi 21.2 peresenti ndi 21.5 peresenti chaka ndi chaka motsatira mu 2021, zonse zomwe zidzakula kwambiri kuposa 20 peresenti poyerekeza ndi 2019.
Zogulitsa kunja kwa South Korea mu 2021 zidayima pa 644,5 biliyoni DOLLAR, kukwera ndi 25,8 peresenti pachaka ndi madola 39.6 biliyoni kuposa mbiri yakale ya madola mabiliyoni 604,9 mu 2018. Zogulitsa kunja ndi zogulitsa kunja zinakwana pafupifupi $ 1.26 thililiyoni, komanso mbiri yakale.Ndikoyamba kuyambira 2000 kuti zinthu zazikulu 15 zotumiza kunja, kuphatikiza ma semiconductors, mafuta a petrochemicals ndi magalimoto, zidalemba kukula kwa manambala awiri.
Kutumiza kunja ku Japan kudakwera 21.5% pachaka mu 2021, zomwe zimatumizidwa ku China zidakwera kwambiri.Zogulitsa kunja ndi zogulitsa kunja zidakulanso pazaka 11 chaka chatha, ndipo zogulitsa kunja zidakwera pafupifupi 30 peresenti kuchokera chaka cham'mbuyo.
Kukula kwachangu kwamalonda amitundu yosiyanasiyana kudachitika makamaka chifukwa chakukhazikika kwachuma chapadziko lonse lapansi komanso kufunikira kokulirakulira.Chuma chachikulu chidayambanso bwino mu theka loyamba la 2021, koma nthawi zambiri zidatsika pambuyo pa gawo lachitatu, ndikukula kosiyanasiyana.Koma kwenikweni, chuma cha padziko lonse chinali chikukwerabe.Banki Yadziko Lonse ikuyembekeza kuti chuma cha padziko lonse chidzakula ndi 5.5 peresenti mu 2021. Bungwe la International Monetary Fund lili ndi chiyembekezo chowonjezereka cha 5.9 peresenti.
Kugulitsa kunja ndi kunja kunalimbikitsidwanso chifukwa cha kukwera kwakukulu kwa mitengo ya zinthu monga mafuta osapsa, zitsulo ndi mbewu.Pofika kumapeto kwa Januware, Luvoort/Core commodity CRB index idakwera 46% chaka chilichonse, chiwonjezeko chachikulu kuyambira 1995, atolankhani akunja adanenanso.Pazinthu zazikulu 22, zisanu ndi zinayi zakwera kupitirira 50 peresenti pachaka, khofi wakwera 91 peresenti, thonje 58 peresenti ndi aluminiyamu 53 peresenti.
Koma akatswiri akuti kukula kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi kungathe kufooka chaka chino.
Pakadali pano, chuma chapadziko lonse lapansi chikukumana ndi ziwopsezo zingapo, kuphatikiza kufalikira kwa COVID-19, kukwera kwa mikangano yapadziko lonse lapansi komanso kusintha kwanyengo, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti kuyambiranso kwa malonda kuli pachiwopsezo.Posachedwa, mabungwe ndi mabungwe angapo apadziko lonse lapansi, kuphatikiza Banki Yadziko Lonse, IMF ndi OECD, atsitsa zolosera zakukula kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi mu 2022.
Kukhazikika kofooka kwa chain chain ndikolepheretsanso kubwezeretsa malonda.Zhang Yuyan, mkulu wa Institute of World Economics and Politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, akukhulupirira kuti kwa mabizinesi, mikangano yamalonda pakati pazachuma zazikulu ndi kufooka kwapafupi kwa dongosolo lazamalonda la mayiko ambiri, nyengo ndi masoka achilengedwe pafupipafupi, komanso kuukira kwa intaneti pafupipafupi. awonjezera kuthekera kwa kusokonezeka kwa chain chain m'magawo osiyanasiyana.
Kukhazikika kwa chain chain ndikofunikira pamalonda apadziko lonse lapansi.Malinga ndi ziwerengero za World Trade Organisation (WTO), chifukwa cha kusokonekera kwa mayendedwe ndi zinthu zina, kuchuluka kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi kudatsika mu gawo lachitatu la chaka chatha.Kubwereza kwa zochitika za "Black Swan" chaka chino, zomwe zasokoneza kapena kusokoneza maunyolo, zingakhale zovuta kwambiri pa malonda a padziko lonse.


Nthawi yotumiza: Feb-14-2022